Government Exhibit P0035
Board Presentation
on M&A Opportunities
April 14, 2003
Enterprise Software Market Share Analysis
| |
TECHNOLOGY |
APPLICATIONS |
| |
Database |
App
Servers |
Business
Intell/Data
Warehouse |
Dev
Tools |
Application Integration |
Systems
Mgmt |
Storage
Mgmt |
Network &
Service
Mgmt |
Content
Mgmt |
ERP
Apps |
SCM
Apps |
CRM
Apps |
| 2001 Market Size |
$12.8 |
$2.2 |
$6.5 |
$2.2 |
$4.4 |
$7.1 |
$6.2 |
$3.0 |
$2.8 |
$23.3 |
$8.5 |
$6.4 |
| Top Players & Market Shares |
Oracle
43% |
BEA
25% |
Oracle
18% |
IBM(l)
15% |
IBM
17% |
IBM
14% |
EMC
28% |
IBM
10% |
Adobe
10% |
SAP
17% |
i2
8% |
Siebel
25% |
| |
IBM
31% |
IBM
23% |
IBM
18% |
Microsoft
8% |
Oracle
8% |
CA
14% |
Veritas
17% |
NETA
8% |
FileNet
9% |
Oracle
7% |
SAP
7% |
Oracle
6% |
| |
Microsoft
9% |
Oracle
12% |
Microsoft
10% |
Compuware
7% |
Tibco
6% |
BMC (2)
8% |
CA
9% |
Agilent
8% |
Vignette
6% |
PeopleSoft
6% |
Oracle
3% |
SAP
4% |
| |
Sybase
4% |
Sun
8% |
SAS Inst. 9% |
CA
4% |
BEA
6% |
Peregrine
7% |
IBM
8% |
Cisco
6% |
DCTM
5% |
JD Edwards
3% |
PeopleSoft
2% |
PeopleSoft
4% |
| |
NCR
2% |
Macromedia
5% |
Cognos
4% |
HP
3% |
WEBM
5% |
HP
6% |
HP
5% |
HP
6% |
Interwoven
5% |
Microsoft
2% |
Manugistics
2% |
Amdocs
4% |
| |
Fujitsu
2% |
Sybase
3% |
BOBJ
3% |
Macromedia
3% |
Sybase
4% |
Microsoft
3% |
Legato
4% |
Lucent
6% |
IBM
5% |
Corner
2% |
Siebel
2% |
Trilogy
3% |
| |
SAS Inst.
2% |
Borland
3% |
NCR
3% |
Oracle
2% |
Vitria
3% |
Novell
2% |
NTAP
3% |
Micromuse
4% |
SER Sys.
5% |
McKesson
2% |
Microsoft
1% |
Vignette
2% |
| |
Others
9% |
Others
22% |
Others
34% |
Others
58% |
Others
51% |
Others
46% |
Others
26% |
Others
52% |
Others
55% |
Others
63% |
Others
76% |
Others
53% |
Source: IDC.
- IBM amount includes Rational percentage share of 7%.
- BMC acquired a portion of Peregrine (Remedy) last year (or $350mm,
but isn't factored into the table.
Enterprise Software Competitive Profile
| Key: |
No Presence  |
Not Significa  |
Player  |
Competitiv  |
($ in billions)
Note: Competitive profile Information for each company estimated by
Oracle.
(1) Source: IDC.
Software Comps - Technology
(in millions, except per share data)
| Company |
Stock
Price
(4/4/03) |
%of
52-Week
High |
Fully-Diluted
Equity
Value |
Net
Debt
(Cash) |
Enterprise
Value |
Enterprise Value/
Revenue Multiple
|
P/E Ratio
|
| LTM |
CY03 |
CY04 |
LTM |
CY03 |
CY04 |
| Oracle Corp. |
$11.38 |
85% |
$61,712.9 |
($5,948.8) |
$55,764.2 |
5.9x |
5.9x |
5.4x |
27.8x |
25.9x |
23.7x |
| IBM |
$80.32 |
77% |
$141,142.3 |
$20,042.0 |
$161,184.3 |
2.0x |
1.8x |
n/a |
20.3x |
18.6x |
16.4x |
| Microsoft |
25.22 |
84% |
277,777.9 |
(43,424.0) |
234,353.9 |
7.6x |
7.1x |
6.6x |
25.9x |
25.1x |
21.6x |
Technology Software Competitors
*** Includes selection of major software
infrastructure applications companies; not all are shown |
| Adobe Systems |
$32.05 |
74% |
$7,685.0 |
($652.7) |
$7,032.3 |
5.9x |
5.7x |
5.4x |
32.7x |
32.1 x |
27.9x |
| BEA Systems |
10.56 |
73% |
4,481.2 |
(708.3) |
3,772.9 |
4.0x |
3.9x |
3.6x |
37.7x |
34.1x |
27.1x |
| BMC Software |
15.36 |
77% |
3,657.0 |
(899.5) |
2,757.5 |
2.2x |
1.8x |
n/a |
35.7x |
26.5x |
n/a |
| Borland Software |
9.01 |
61% |
669.2 |
(296.2) |
373.1 |
1.5x |
1.0x |
0.7x |
28.2x |
21.5x |
14.5x |
| Business Objects |
18.29 |
41% |
1,189.3 |
(277.8) |
911.5 |
2.0x |
1.8x |
1.6x |
29.0x |
24.4x |
20.3x |
| Cognos |
25.06 |
91% |
2,305.4 |
(242.3) |
2,063.1 |
3.7x |
3.1x |
2.7x |
30.9x |
27.8x |
24.1x |
| Computer Associates |
13.95 |
63% |
8,072.4 |
2,129.0 |
10,201.4 |
3.3x |
3.1x |
n/a |
nmf |
51.7x |
n/a |
| Documentum |
13.95 |
55% |
716.3 |
(128.1) |
588.2 |
2.6x |
2.0x |
1.8x |
99.6x |
39.9x |
25.4x |
| Embarcadero Tech |
6.60 |
46% |
186.5 |
(43.8) |
142.7 |
2.9x |
2.8x |
2.4x |
33.0x |
23.6x |
18.9x |
| FileNet |
10.55 |
59% |
383.8 |
(185.2) |
198.6 |
0.6x |
0.5x |
0.5x |
45.9x |
31.0x |
18.2x |
| Hyperion Solutions |
26.56 |
81% |
976.3 |
(302.2) |
674.1 |
1.3x |
1.3x |
n/a |
35.4x |
28.9x |
n/a |
| Legato Systems |
5.72 |
63% |
669.7 |
(59.5) |
610.2 |
2.3x |
1.9x |
1.7x |
nmf |
nmf |
44.0x |
| Mercury Interactive |
31.13 |
78% |
2,764.7 |
(348.2) |
2,416.5 |
6.0x |
5.1x |
n/a |
43.2x |
33.8x |
28.0x |
| Novell Corp. |
2.42 |
59% |
891.2 |
(708.2) |
183.0 |
0.2x |
n/a |
n/a |
34.6x |
14.2x |
n/a |
| Quest Software |
9.55 |
62% |
899.0 |
(207.5) |
691.4 |
2.7x |
2.4x |
2.1x |
43.4x |
30.8x |
22.7x |
| Red Hat |
5.64 |
78% |
1,004.9 |
(292.3) |
712.5 |
7.8x |
6.3x |
n/a |
nmf |
nmf |
47.0x |
| Sybase |
12.27 |
69% |
1,199.0 |
(382.2) |
816.9 |
1.0x |
1.0x |
1.0x |
11.9x |
12.3x |
10.7x |
| TIBCO Software |
4.34 |
36% |
957.6 |
(652.6) |
305.0 |
1.2x |
1.2x |
1.2x |
54.3x |
72.3x |
39.5x |
| Veritas Software |
18.91 |
42% |
7,993.1 |
(1,781.1) |
6,212.0 |
4.1x |
4.0x |
3.6x |
31.0x |
30.5x |
27.0x |
| WebMethods |
8.72 |
47% |
463.9 |
(195.4) |
268.5 |
1.4x |
1.3x |
n/a |
nmf
|
nmf |
39.6x |
| |
Average Median |
63%
63% |
|
|
|
2.8x
2.5x |
2.6x
2.0x |
2.2x
1.8x |
39.2x
35.0x |
31.5x
30.5x |
27.2x
26.2x |
Software Comps - Enterprise Apps
(in millions, except per share data)
| Company |
Stock
Price
(4/4/03) |
%of
52-Week
High |
Fully-Diluted
Equity
Value |
Net
Debt
(Cash) |
Enterprise
Value |
Enterprise Value/
Revenue Multiple |
P/E Ratio |
| LTM |
CY03 |
CY04 |
LTM |
CY03 |
CY04 |
| Oracle Corp. |
$11.38 |
85% |
561,712.9 |
($5,948.8) |
555,764.2 |
5.9x |
5.9x |
5.4x |
27.8x |
25.9x |
23.7x |
| IBM |
$80.32 |
77% |
$141,142.3 |
520,042.0 |
5161,184.3 |
2.0x |
1.8x |
n/a |
20.3x |
18.6x |
16.4x |
| Microsoft |
25.22 |
84% |
277,777.9 |
(43,424.0) |
234,353.9 |
7.6x |
7.1x |
6.6x |
25.9x |
25.1x |
21.6x |
Enterprise Applications Software
Competitors
*** Includes selection of major software enterprise applications
companies; not all are shown |
| Agile Software |
$6.66 |
55% |
$328.1 |
($261.8) |
$66.3 |
1.0x |
0.9x |
n/a |
nmf |
nmf |
nmf |
| Ariba |
3.27 |
1% |
895.3 |
(226.4) |
669.0 |
2.8x |
2.5x |
n/a |
40.9x |
36.3x |
n/a |
| Aspen Technology |
2.50 |
11% |
95.9 |
58.3 |
154.1 |
0.5x |
0.5x |
n/a |
nmf |
10.0x |
n/a |
| Cerner |
18.15 |
32% |
650.7 |
(6.3) |
657.0 |
0.9x |
0.8x |
0.7x |
13.0x |
18.2x |
9.9x |
| Datastream Systems |
6.75 |
72% |
137.4 |
(34.7) |
102.7 |
1.1x |
1.1x |
1.0x |
75.0x |
30.7x |
19.9x |
| FreeMarkets |
5.37 |
23% |
239.7 |
(132.2) |
107.5 |
0.6x |
0.7x |
n/a |
20.7x |
nmf |
20.7x |
| JDA Software |
8.96 |
25% |
256.4 |
(101.9) |
154.6 |
0.7x |
0.9x |
0.8x |
16.3x |
37.3x |
19.5x |
| J.D. Edwards |
11.60 |
65% |
1,403.5 |
(353.4) |
1,050.1 |
1.2x |
1.2x |
1.1x |
35.2x |
32.2x |
25.8x |
| Lawson Software |
4.82 |
40% |
540.4 |
(248.0) |
292.5 |
0.8x |
0.9x |
0.8x |
96.4 x |
nmf |
53.6x |
| Manhattan Associates |
19.54 |
49% |
614.5 |
(121.5) |
493.0 |
2.8x |
2.4x |
2.1x |
23.0x |
19.0x |
15.8x |
| Manugistics |
2.38 |
10% |
166.8 |
117.1 |
283.9 |
1.0x |
1.1x |
1.1x |
nmf |
nmf |
nmf |
| Mapics |
6.43 |
78% |
120.2 |
(11.4) |
108.7 |
0.9x |
n/a |
n/a |
13.4x |
n/a |
n/a |
| MRO Software |
7.13 |
47% |
174.1 |
(71.0) |
103.1 |
0.6x |
0.6x |
0.5x |
37.5x |
35.7x |
19.3x |
| PeopleSoft |
14.85 |
39% |
4,729.7 |
(1,907.5) |
2,822.2 |
1.4x |
1.5x |
1.4x |
24.8x |
23.6x |
20.6x |
| QAD Inc. |
4.74 |
95% |
174.6 |
(40.1) |
134.5 |
0.7x |
0.6x |
n/a |
nmf |
23.7x |
n/a |
| Retek |
5.65 |
20% |
301.1 |
(85.4) |
215.7 |
1.1x |
1.3x |
1.2x |
nmf |
nmf |
56.5x |
| SAP |
19.80 |
51% |
24,963.6 |
(770.6) |
24,193.0 |
3.1x |
3.0x |
2.7x |
25.4x |
21.8x |
18.9x |
| SCT Corp. |
6.80 |
43% |
228.6 |
23.6 |
205.0 |
0.8x |
0.8x |
n/a |
15.5x |
13.6x |
n/a |
|
Siebel Systems
|
7.74 |
23% |
4,040.8 |
(1,854.6) |
2,186.2 |
1.3x |
1.4x |
1.4x |
31.0x |
31.0x |
22.8x |
| Vastera |
4.09 |
27% |
169.6 |
(53.7) |
115.8 |
1.5x |
1.4x |
n/a |
nmf |
68.2x |
29.2x |
| |
Average
Median |
40%
40% |
|
|
|
1.2x
1.0x |
1.2x
1.1x |
1.2x
1.1x |
33.4x
25.1 x |
28.6x
27.2x |
25.6x
20.6x |
Overview of Potential Targets
(in millions, except per share data)
|
Company
|
Price
(4/4/03) |
% of
52-Week
High |
Equity
Value |
Cash |
Debt |
Enterprise
Value |
EV / Revenue |
P/E Ratio |
Oracle FY 2004 Impact (1) |
| LTM |
CY03 |
CY04 |
LTM |
CY03 |
CY04 |
Revenue
Contribution |
Accretion/
(Dilution) |
Pre-tax B/E
Synergies |
| Oracle Corp. |
$11.38 |
85% |
$61,712.9 |
$6,263.8 |
$315.1 |
$55.764.2 |
5.9x |
5.9x |
5.4x |
27.8x |
25.9x |
23.7s |
|
|
|
| Technology Acquisition Targets |
| BEA Systems |
$10.56 |
73% |
$4,481.2 |
$1,207.5 |
$559.2 |
$3.772.9 |
4.0x |
3.9x |
3.6x |
37.7x |
34.1x |
27.1x |
9.3% |
(5.3%) |
$186.3 |
| Sybase |
12.27 |
69% |
1,199.0 |
387.2 |
5.0 |
816.9 |
1.0x |
1.0x |
1.0x |
11.9x |
12.3x |
10.7x |
7.7% |
1.6% |
(57.1) |
| Documentum |
13.95 |
55% |
716.3 |
253.1 |
125.0 |
588.2 |
2.6x |
2.0x |
1.8x |
99.6x |
39.9x |
25.4x |
3.2% |
(0.8%) |
28.5 |
| Business Objects |
18.29 |
41% |
1,189.3 |
289.3 |
11.4 |
911.5 |
2.0x |
1.8x |
1.6x |
29.0x |
24.4x |
20.3x |
5.2% |
(0.3%) |
12.2 |
| Applications Acquisition Targets |
| J.D. Edwards |
$11.60 |
65% |
$1,403.5 |
$353.4 |
$0.0 |
$1,050.1 |
1.2x |
1.2x |
1.1x |
35.2x |
32.2x |
25.8x |
8.8% |
(1.1%) |
$40.4 |
| PeopleSoft |
14.85 |
39% |
4,729.7 |
1,907.5 |
0.0 |
2,822.2 |
1.4x |
1.5x |
1.4x |
24.8x |
23.6x |
20.6x |
16.8% |
(1.5%) |
54.5 |
| Lawson Software |
4.82 |
40% |
540.4 |
249.2 |
1.2 |
292.5 |
0.8x |
0.9x |
0.8x |
96.4x |
nmf |
53.6x |
3.4% |
(0.9%) |
31.5 |
| Cerner |
18.15 |
32% |
650.7 |
142.5 |
148.8 |
657.0 |
0.9x |
0.8x |
0.7x |
13.0x |
18.2x |
9.9x |
8.7% |
1.5% |
(51.8) |
| SCT Corp. |
6.80 |
43% |
228.6 |
57.3 |
33.8 |
205.0 |
0.8x |
0.8x |
n/a |
15.5x |
13.6x |
n/a |
2.5% |
0.1% |
(3.3) |
| |
Average
Median |
51%
43% |
|
|
|
|
1.6x
1.2x |
1.5x
1.2x |
1.5x
1.2x |
40.3x
29.0x |
24.8x
24.0x |
24.2x
23.0x |
7.3%
7.7% |
(0.8%)
(0.8%) |
$26.8
$28.5 |
(in millions, except employee data)
| |
|
Revenue |
Revenue Growth |
Licenses as %
of Revs |
Gross Margin |
EBIT Margin |
| Company |
Employees |
LTM |
CY03 |
CY04 |
CY02 |
CY03 |
CY04 |
LTM |
CY03 |
CY04 |
LTM |
CY03 |
CY04 |
LTM |
CY03 |
CY04 |
| Oracle Corp. |
40.389 |
$9,417 |
$9,497 |
$10,257 |
(12%) |
1% |
8% |
35% |
33% |
n/a |
75% |
75% |
n/a |
36% |
35% |
n/a |
| Technology Acquisition Targets |
| BEA Systems |
3,063 |
$934.1 |
S979.1 |
$1,044.0 |
(4%) |
5% |
7% |
55% |
52% |
53% |
79% |
79% |
79% |
17% |
19% |
21% |
| Sybase |
4,031 |
829.9 |
788.9 |
822.2 |
(10%) |
(5%) |
4% |
39% |
39% |
40% |
73% |
73% |
74% |
16% |
16% |
19% |
| Documentum |
1,155 |
226.9 |
297.5 |
333.5 |
22% |
31% |
12% |
52% |
55% |
57% |
73% |
75% |
77% |
3% |
9% |
10% |
| Business Objects |
2,162 |
454.8 |
495.0 |
570.0 |
9% |
9% |
15% |
54% |
50% |
51% |
84% |
84% |
84% |
12% |
14% |
15% |
| Applications Acquisition Targets |
| JD Edwards |
4.938 |
$905.7 |
$911.9 |
$952.0 |
1% |
1% |
4% |
25% |
26% |
27% |
60% |
59% |
59% |
6% |
7% |
8% |
| PeopleSoft |
8,293 |
1,948.9 |
1,897.0 |
2,020.8 |
(8%) |
(3%) |
7% |
27% |
22% |
23% |
63% |
61% |
61% |
13% |
14% |
15% |
| Lawson Software |
1,697 |
360.6 |
318.7 |
351.1 |
3% |
(21%) |
10% |
24% |
18% |
20% |
55% |
54% |
55% |
(1%) |
(0%) |
4% |
| Cerner |
4,791 |
751.9 |
852.0 |
999.0 |
39% |
13% |
17% |
44% |
42% |
43% |
78% |
76% |
78% |
12% |
8% |
12% |
| SCT Corp. |
1,600 |
245.1 |
271.5 |
n/a |
27% |
11% |
n/a |
17% |
n/a |
n/a |
38% |
n/a |
n/a |
9% |
n/a |
n/a |
| |
|
|
|
Average
Median |
9%
3% |
5%
5% |
10%
8% |
38%
39% |
18%
40% |
39%
41% |
67%
73% |
70%
74% |
71%
75% |
10%
12% |
11%
11% |
13%
13% |
Note: Projections provided by First Call for EPS estimates and Individual
research analysts for revenue estimates.
(1) Assumes cash acquisition at 40% premium to current price and no
changes to target's stand-alone finacials; based on LTM numbers for
SCTC due to lack of analyst coverage.
BEA Systems

BEA Systems - Company Overview
|
Description of Business
|
|
Ticker:
|
Public (Nasdaq: BEAS) |
| Headquarters: |
San Jose, CA |
| Employees: |
3,063 |
| Customers: |
13,500 |
| Management. |
Alfred Chuang (CEO) - BEAS Co-Founder, Sun Charles III (EVP
of Sales) - IBM
Olivier Helleboid (President of Products) - Rainfinity, HP |
| Products |
Java-based BEA WebLogic Platform components:
WebLogic Server - application server
WebLogic
Workshop - app development framework
WebLogic Integration
- integration tools
WebLogic Portal - unified
access
WebLogic JRockit - server-centric JVM
Liquid Data - enterprise information integration
|
| Business Mod Attributes: |
Sold primarily through direct channels, but
more than 40% of revenue influenced by indirect channels
Strongest verticals: government/transport/utilities,
financial services, telecom, service industries, high tech
Tuxedo product still ~15% of license revenue |
|
LTM REVENUE COMPONENTS
|
LTM REVENUE BY GEOGRAPHY
|
D
|
|
Financial Summary
|
| (in millions, except per share
data) |
Market Trading & Other Stats
|
| Price (04/04/03) |
$10.56
|
Fiscal Year End |
Jan. |
| LTM Hi/Low |
$14.45/$4.59 |
Long-Term EPS Growth |
20% |
| Equity Value |
$4,481.2
|
Cash |
$1,267.5 |
| Enterprise Value |
$3,772.9 |
Total Debt |
|
$559.2 |
| Financial Summary |
CY'01 |
CY'02 |
CY'03 |
CY'04 |
|
| Revenue |
$975.9 |
$934.1 |
$979.1 |
$1,044.0 |
| Growth Rate |
19% |
(4%) |
5% |
7% |
| License as % of Rev |
61% |
55% |
52% |
53% |
| Support as % of Rev |
24% |
33% |
35% |
35% |
| Gross Margin |
79% |
79% |
79% |
79% |
| Pro Forma EBIT Mrgn |
18% |
17% |
19% |
21% |
| Valuation Multiples |
|
CY'02 |
CY'03 |
CY'04 |
|
| EV / Revenue |
|
4.0x |
3.9x |
3.6x |
| P/E Ratio |
|
37.7x |
34.1x |
27.1x |
|
LTM Stock Price Performance
|
D
|
BEA Systems - Acquisition Rationale
|
Potential Upside
|
|
Potential Drawbacks
|
- Improve Oracle's competitive positioning in the middleware space
* Guarantees Oracle a spot in every RFP
* Leading alternative to IBM / MSFT
platform
- Consolidate customers that run Oracle database, yet purchased
BEA over last several years
* Customers get more integrated offering
- Increase developer mindshare Access strong
management talent
- Logical move that could be well received by the financial
community
|
|
- May cause significant sales disruption for both companies
- Entrenched management team unlikely to welcome acquisition offer
- Face significant personnel reductions and restructuring charges
- One of the more expensive acquisition alternatives available
* Requires significant synergies for EPS accretion
|
BEA Systems - Combination Analysis
|
- Assumes no adjustments to target entity's
and-alone financial model
|
Oracle Multiples for Comparison: |
|
|
| LTM Revenue |
5.9x |
LTM P/E |
27.8x |
| CY'03 Revenue |
5.9x |
CY'03 P/E |
25.9x |
| CY'04 Revenue |
5.4x |
CY'04 P/E |
23.7x |
(in millions, except per share data)
|
BEAS Purchase Price / Purchase Premium
|
| |
$10.56 |
$11.62 |
$12.67 |
$13.73 |
$14.78 |
$15.84 |
$16.90 |
$17.95 |
$19.01 |
$20.06 |
$21.12 |
| |
0% |
10% |
20% |
30% |
40% |
50% |
60% |
70% |
80% |
90% |
100% |
|
| Market Value |
$4,481.2 |
$4,942.3 |
$5,414.4 |
$5,887.4 |
$6,360.4 |
$6,833.4 |
$7,306.5 |
$7,779.5 |
$8,252.5 |
$8,726.9 |
$9,206.4 |
| Enterprise Value |
$3,772.9 |
$4,234.0 |
$4,706.1 |
$5,179.1 |
$5,652.1 |
$6,125.2 |
$6,598.2 |
$7,071.2 |
$7,544.2 |
$8,018.6 |
$8,498.1 |
| Stand-Alone Financials: |
| LTM Revenue |
$934.1 |
LTM EBIT
Margin |
17.4% |
LTM EPS |
$0 28 |
| CY'03 Revenue |
$979.1 |
CY'03 EBIT Margin |
18.8% |
CY'03 EPS |
$0.31 |
| CY'04 Revenue |
$1,044.0 |
CY'04 EBIT Margin |
20.6% |
CY'04 EPS |
$0.39 |
|
| Multiples: |
| LTM Revenue |
4.0x |
4.5x |
5.0x |
5.5x |
6.1x |
6.6x |
7.1x |
7.6x |
8.1x |
8.6x |
9.1x |
| CY'03 Revenue |
3.9x |
4.3x |
4.8x |
5.3x |
5.8x |
6.3x |
6.7x |
7.2x |
7.7x |
8.2x |
8.7x |
| CY'04 Revenue |
3.6x |
4.1x |
4 5x |
5.0x |
5.4x |
5.9x |
6.3x |
6.8x |
7.2x |
7.7x |
8.1x |
| LTM P/E |
37.7x |
41.5x |
45.3x |
49.0x |
52.8x |
56.6x |
60.3x |
64.1x |
67.9x |
71.7x |
75.4x |
| CY'03 P/E |
34.1x |
37.5x |
40.9x |
44.3x |
47.7x |
51.1x |
54.5x |
57.9x |
61.3x |
64.7x |
68.1x |
| CY'04 P/E |
27.1x |
29.8x |
32.5x |
35.2x |
37.9x |
40.6x |
43.3x |
46.0x |
48.7x |
51.4x |
54.2x |
| ORACLE IMPACT (1) |
| Cash Acquisition: |
| FY'04 EPS Accretion / (Dilution) |
(1.6%) |
(2.5%) |
(3.4%) |
(4.3%) |
(5.3%) |
(6.2%) |
(7.1%) |
(8.1%) |
(9.0%) |
(9.9%) |
(10.9%) |
| B/E Required Pretax Synergies |
$56.8 |
$88.1 |
$119.9 |
$153.1 |
$186.3 |
$219.6 |
$252.8 |
$286.1 |
$319.3 |
$352.5 |
$386.8 |
| Required EBIT Margin |
25.1% |
28.3% |
31.5% |
34.9% |
38.2% |
41.6% |
44.9% |
48.3% |
51.6% |
55.0% |
58.5% |
| Stock Acquisition: |
| FY'04 EPS Accretion / (Dilution) |
(5.8%) |
(7.0%) |
(8.2%) |
(9.4%) |
(10.6%) |
(11.9%) |
(13.0%) |
(14.2%) |
(15.4%) |
(16.5%) |
(17.6%) |
| B/E Required Pretax Synergies |
$219.7 |
$267.7 |
$316.7 |
$367.1 |
$417.6 |
$468.0 |
$518.4 |
$568.9 |
$619.3 |
$669.7 |
$721.4 |
| Required EBIT Margin |
41.6% |
| |